Tools Lab
Make a plan, play with a model, or find a different way into a problem.
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Roadmap
Arrange work across now, next and later, set WIP limits, and export the plan.
Timeline
Map milestones, uncertainty ranges and dependencies; compare how the plan has moved.
Bets
Compare stakes, odds and payoffs across a portfolio of bets.
Rank
Rank options against weighted criteria and see whether the order survives uncertainty.
Duel
Compare options in pairs when a list is too long to rank in one pass.
Map
Place a portfolio on two axes and explore what different positions mean.
Tree
Draw a decision tree with probabilities and expected values carried up its branches.
Why
Connect outcomes, assumptions and solutions to expose the argument behind a plan.
Wardley
Map a value chain and its evolution to explore what to build, buy or commoditise.
Premortem
Write the failure story, estimate its risks and decide which ones need action.
Fermi
Build a driver-tree estimate with ranges and see which assumptions matter.
Gauge
Collect independent estimates, compare ranges and run another round.
Alarm
Explore how base rates change the meaning of a supposedly accurate alarm.
Flow
Explore the relationship between work in progress, throughput and waiting time.
Signal vs noise
Respond to noisy results and see how interventions can amplify the variation.
Paths
Map the questions inside a plan, what their answers buy and what happens either way.
Proxy Hunt
Stress-test whether pressure on a metric can harm the outcomes it is meant to serve.
Case file
Bring tool links, a decision question and a verdict together in one case.
Cycle budget
Explore a battery’s warranty budget and the value of cycles across three horizons.
Risk transfer
Compare merchant, floor, toll and insured payoffs across the same uncertain year.
Frequency & inertia
Trip a generator and explore inertia, rate of change of frequency and battery response.
Merit order
Stack generators by cost, move demand and see which plant sets the clearing price.
A day through the stack
Play a day through the merit order and see how storage changes its price shape.
The commitment spiral
Can a team promise its way into losing the ability to deliver?
How teams fit the work
Move capabilities across team boundaries. Watch the work find a different route.
Where flexibility gets trapped
Make battery commitments before you know what comes next.
Steering through delay
Keep a system steady while your instrument reports an earlier state.
How exceptions accumulate
Accept a useful exception. Follow what it asks of the system later.
Specialists and shared knowledge
Move a coaching period before or after a specialist becomes unavailable.
When predictions change behaviour
A shared forecast changes the behaviour that produces its target.
Accurate enough for which decision?
Keep the headline forecast accuracy. Change the decisions it produces.
Almost reliable parts
Build a dependency map. Find what a backup really protects you from.
Crossing the adoption gap
A change may be useful only once enough other people use it.
Reframing workbench
Describe the same problem differently. Notice what you would do next.
Possibility mixer
Combine ingredients, map your concepts, and investigate spaces you have not explored.
Constraint playground
Change a limit in your imagination. Bring the useful part back to reality.
Analogy workshop
Borrow a mechanism from somewhere else. Find where the comparison breaks.
Intervention workbench
Which causal relationship would you change, and what would you expect to observe?
Alternatives workbench
Start with an idea, an objection or a disagreement. Compare different ways to make it work.
Scene-first invention
Invent for a person at a particular moment, with partial information.
Archived and merged experiments
Exploration versus delivery
Spend limited effort learning about the problem or building a response.
Local wins, collective losses
Change one team’s action and watch who absorbs the consequences.
Three genuinely different answers
Generate alternatives with different mechanisms before comparing them.
Unexplored territory
Map ideas by needs and mechanisms. Investigate empty combinations.
Idea family tree
Keep alternatives connected without losing their differences.
Questions before answers
Expand the questions that could open different approaches.
Productive disagreement
Protect the useful intentions inside two opposing proposals.